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Obama Can’t Lose the Nomination Honestly

But very likely can’t win the General honestly, either.

The problem is not the loss in Pennsylvania; it’s how and where it occurred.  In a more severe repeat of Ohio, he lost badly in the blue collar areas he’ll need to win in November; he even lost in Pittsburg!.  This CNN analysis is bang on.  This is a problem of perception, in an area Barack cannot easily correct.  One of elitism and experience.  Against a Mitt Romney, he’d clean up; against McCain, very little chance in the lunch bucket crowd. 

Hillary may even have a shot at winning the popular vote and making that argument (which I don’t believe will be successful, but horribly embarrassing).  But she’ll need to get a lot closer before her advantage in the really seamy side of this whole mess can come into play.  She’ll continue to make her arguments, right to the end, to set herself for a 2012 contest, if not this one.  One that requires an Obama loss to have happen.

As for the money aspect; she’ll never catch Barack, but she doesn’t have to.  She’s collected $2.5 mil in 3 1/2 hours after the polls closed and you can count on a lot more in the next 24 hours.  It’s enough to keep pounding away, uncovering the Chicago politician that lies beneath ‘Mr. Hope and CHange’.  And bring a smile to the face of us Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy Devils.

One Response

  1. If Barack is really a product of Chicago, that pocket knife will be enough. Bloody as they get, I still see America putting one of them in the white house in repudiation of the Bush/GOP administration.

    The great majority of voters in November will not have participated in these primaries and not paid much, or even any, attention to them. The choice will be either an old white guy – hero of a FORMER generation – or symbolic change (be it for the black guy or the chick, it is a huge visual for TV-brained America).

    The diff in popular vote between Black Barack and Mrs. Bill is even — whereas he may ‘energize’ young and minority voters, she will get GOP women cross-over votes. Since the youth and minority votes have traditionally stayed home, Obama’s advantage there may just be a mirage — but the over 60 women ALWAYS vote.

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